Delivery August 2017. Beginning production Jan/Feb.
This I can't get, estimated production flow for 2017 (according to above statement, from KAAB i guess).
Slowest case: Building week 1-35 2017, at 8 stations, 4.4 weeks/station
Fastest case: Building week 9-31 2017, at 9 stations, 3.1 week/station
Current situation: chassis 127 have been at st8 in august and is being delivered in september (week 35 2016), giving us this situation: 128 st8, 129 st7, 130 st6, 131 st5, 132 st4, 133 st3, 134 st2, 135 st1.
With 26 weeks to last week in February and 12 cars to "start" before build start of 147, takt time for renaming part of 2016 will need to be at 2.1-1.4 weeks/station pace to hit the "worst case" estimated build start!! With a 3 week/station pace (more likely but still faster than estimated by KAAB for the build of 147), building starts in May 2017 and Delivery in October 2017. With 3.5 week/station (more in the middle of a KAAB estimated number for 2017), building starts June and delivery is in early 2018. Don't even think about the 4.4 week/station pace, that would make customers very unhappy and damage the company..
The years I've stalked the builds I noticed very uneven pace, I'm sure the production manager at KAAB has a lot to do (improve)!